Here’s what to know beyond why Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) is a trending stock

Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) has been one of the most searched stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to consider some of the facts that could shape the stock’s performance in the short term.

Over the past month, shares of this company have returned -6.3%, compared to -2.3% for the Zacks S&P 500 composite. Opendoor Technologies Inc., lost 11.9%. The key question now is: what could be the future direction of the title?

While press releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company’s trading outlook usually “trend” its stock and cause an immediate price change, there are always fundamental facts that ultimately dominate the take. purchase and retention decision.

Revisions to earnings estimates

At Zacks, we prioritize evaluating change in a company’s future earnings projection over anything else. This is because we believe that the present value of its future income stream is what determines the fair value of its stock.

Our analysis is primarily based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock revise their earnings estimates to reflect the latest trading trends. When a company’s earnings estimates increase, the fair value of its stock also increases. And when the fair value of a stock is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, causing its price to rise. For this reason, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term movements in stock prices.

For the current quarter, Opendoor Technologies Inc. is expected to post a loss of $0.35 per share, indicating a change of -1,650% from the prior year quarter. The Zacks consensus estimate has changed -175% in the last 30 days.

The current year earnings consensus estimate of -$0.16 indicates a +20% year-over-year change. This estimate has changed by -168.3% over the last 30 days.

For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $0.02 indicates a change of +110.4% from what Opendoor Technologies Inc. is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed by -89.5%.

With a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, Zacks Rank, provides a more conclusive picture of a stock’s price direction in the short term, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. . Due to the magnitude of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Opendoor Technologies Inc. is ranked Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

The chart below shows the evolution of the company’s consensus 12-month EPS estimate:

12 month EPS

Revenue Growth Forecasts

While a company’s earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing happens if it can’t grow its revenue. It is almost impossible for a company to increase its profits without increasing its revenue for long periods of time. Therefore, knowing the potential revenue growth of a business is crucial.

In the case of Opendoor Technologies Inc., the consensus sales estimate of $2.47 billion for the current quarter indicates a year-over-year change of +8.9%. Estimates of $14.7 billion and $15.59 billion for the current and next fiscal year indicate changes of +83.2% and +6.1%, respectively.

Latest reported results and history of surprises

Opendoor Technologies Inc. reported revenue of $4.2 billion last quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +254.2%. EPS of $0.19 for the same period versus $0.01 a year ago.

Compared to the Zacks consensus estimate of $4.15 billion, reported revenue is a surprise of +1.18%. Surprise EPS was +35.71%.

The company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates in each of the past four quarters. The company has exceeded consensus earnings estimates every time during this period.

Evaluation

No investment decision can be effective without considering the valuation of a stock. Whether a stock’s current price accurately reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company’s growth prospects is a key determinant of its future price performance.

While comparing the current values ​​of a company’s valuation multiples, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and the price-to-cash flow (P/CF) ratio , with its own historical values ​​help determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued or undervalued, comparing the company against its peers on these metrics gives a good idea of ​​the reasonableness of the stock price .

The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to rank stocks from A to F (an A is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is quite useful in determining whether a stock is overvalued, correctly priced, or temporarily undervalued.

Opendoor Technologies Inc. is rated F on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see values ​​for some of the rating metrics that led to this rating.

Conclusion

The facts discussed here and plenty of other information about Zacks.com could help determine whether or not it’s worth paying attention to the market buzz about Opendoor Technologies Inc. However, its #3 Zacks ranking suggests that ‘it can work in line with the broader market in the short term.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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